Future Emissions Projections: Europe Across All Sectors

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Multiple sources provide projections of future emissions in Europe. Independent of the IPCC, the European Environment Agency provides projections of total emissions under a variety of emissions scenarios. Two projections for 2020, ‘With Existing Measures’ (WEM) and ‘With Additional Measures’ (WAM), produce significantly different estimates of total emissions. Projections under the WEM scenario predict GHG levels to increase to a level of 6.0% below 1990 levels by 2020. Projections under the WAM scenario project emissions to reach a level of 14% below 1990 levels by 2020.

Projections differ widely between member states. Eight member states, for example, predict that their emission levels will increase notwithstanding the implementation of additional policies while other member states project substantial reductions in total emissions.